Throughout the last 5 years, I have received tons of trading advice from many different people. Some of it helped my trading a lot, others caused pain and detriment.

When I think back to the real advice that actually helped me bridge the gap to profitability, one quote comes to mind:

This quote emphasises the lack of patience traders have in waiting for good market conditions, most of you would be profitable over night if you just waited for better market conditions…

Lets take a look at a high probability expansion I called to my premium group…

Preface

I discussed the day prior that if the daily candle was likely to close like this, then we’d expecting the following day (Wednesday) to expand higher and reach for the EQHs. Price had swept Mondays low inside of a Daily BISI (HTF PD array). I was expecting the weekly to follow a Classic Expansion Profile.

The Higher Time Frame

This is what price looked like when I woke up (just before London Session opened). We had reacted from the H4 IFVG & BISI. My initial target on price was the PDH

The Intraday Time Frames

We had SMT at the low which further confirmed higher prices. I wanted to see price either push higher from the M15 MB + FVG or H1 IR. I was anticipating the 7am candle (1st hour of London) to tag one of these zones and then expand higher (hourly power of 3).

Instead of tapping the FVG or IR we tagged the MB + a M15 OB and started running higher, this is when I decided to execute a Short on EURUSD. Think about hourly power of 3 here, in the first 15 minutes of the hour we reached lower and then closed bullish.

Now I’m expecting bullish order flow to hold

Check the time stamp in the top left of the TradingView image, we achieved this move within the first hour of London. Very clean move, great one to study.

Took 75% here and left a runner

DXY ended up reaching for the EQHs just before NY opened up.

Closing Thoughts

The best piece of advice I can give you is the following:

Identify what parameters/conditions are required for you to anticipate a high probability expansion (I have given mine here).

Wait for these Conditions to be met

Have a simple Entry Model

This is all that’s required….

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